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Welcome!
A cartoon in the
Sunday Boston Globe a few weeks back had us
howling — with both laughter and frustration.
It
was a perfect example of something called
"instrument bias," the subject of this month's issue of
Research with a Twist.
As always, please
click
here to send us your thoughts and comments.

Julie Brown
President
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Mark Palmerino
Executive Vice President
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Is Your Instrument Biased? |
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I have a confession to make: When I open the
Sunday paper, the first thing I read are the
comics.
I don't know if it's a coping mechanism for bracing
myself against the "real" news or simply a holdover
from my childhood when the comic section
accounted for the sum total of my Sunday newspaper
reading. Either way, that's my starting point.
Interestingly, in just eight panels each
(sometimes less), the best cartoons can often do a
better job of summing up an issue than what it takes
the rest of the paper to do in dozens of pages.
Such was the case a few weeks ago, when a comic
called "Non Sequitur" skewered the inanity of the
political polling process. You can follow this link to see the
cartoon for yourself, but in a nutshell, the comic
depicted a door-to-door survey-taker asking a series
of short, "check the box" questions to a homeowner
regarding his political orientation. Thanks to a
series of limiting and poorly-conceived questions and
associated answers, the results were laughable.
This type of structural limitation in a survey device
or process is what's called "instrument bias." All
surveys have them: Web-based surveys exclude
those without computer access, door-to-door surveys
exclude the homeless, etc. That's understood going
in, and the challenge for any organization that
designs a survey is to minimize this bias.
Closed-ended surveys like the one shown in the
comic are particularly vulnerable to instrument
bias. Because both questions and answers are
preconceived, there's no room for dialogue,
clarification or shades of grey as the survey unfolds
— walking away with a handful of checked
boxes does not ensure accurate or useful
information.
And, while certainly (hopefully!) an exaggeration,
let's take a look at what went wrong in the cartoon
example:
- The questions asked were limiting.
Asking whether you're a Democrat or a Republican
presupposes that those are the only options. Asked
as such, the question leaves no room for
independent, Green party, Bull Moose, or whatever
else may be possible. A better way to ask would have
been, "Are you a member of a political party, and if
so, which one?"
- The answers offered were incomplete. It's
impossible to offer participants the choice of every
conceivable answer — even if you knew what
they were ahead of time it would be unwieldy to list
them all. And yet including some choices (and
therefore, excluding others) is a necessary step in
developing any closed-ended device.
Focus groups are often used as a means of
solving this dilemma. For example, if you were
planning to conduct a Web-based, closed-ended,
worldwide survey of IT hiring managers, you might
first field several focus groups of 10 IT managers
each and ask them about the problems they have in
hiring staff. At the end of your sessions, you might
have a list of 20 or 30 IT manager hiring woes.
That's when the fun (i.e. instrument bias) begins.
You've now got to decide which five or six of these to
include as choices in your survey. Unfortunately,
your focus group offers no help in this regard.
Focus groups tell you that the idea came up, but offer
no guidance in determining which answers are the
most likely or important, and would therefore appeal
to the greatest number of people.
A better approach in developing survey questions
(WARNING: shameless CSR self-promotion ahead)
is one which combines open-ended
questioning with an ability to quantify the results.
If you can both uncover new ideas/responses
and rank the frequency of these responses at
the same time, you'll be better equipped to develop a
solution set that resonates with participants for your
closed-ended questions.
- The choices and labels used were
judgmental. While the standard catch-all "other"
is a better option than the "Trouble Maker" or "Satan
Worshipper" categories used in the cartoon to label
answers which didn't fit neatly into the survey-taker's
instrument, it reveals an important point. Poorly
worded choices, whether the result of honest
ignorance or deliberate intent in pushing a particular
agenda, can quite easily influence results.
Robert Orben famously asked, "Do you ever get the
feeling that the only reason we have elections is to
find out if the polls were right?" In market
research, unlike politics, election day never comes
— our research and its tools are all we have in
uncovering the true beliefs of the populations we
study. Get started on the right foot by ensuring
you've kept instrument bias to a minimum!
— Mark
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Mixology (Putting research into practice) |
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What you see is what you get.
The presidential election season seems to offer a
nearly unlimited supply of research and data
sampling predicaments. One of the hottest, of
course, concerns the Democratic race and the
question of delegates and how they're chosen.
The Obama camp, ahead to date in popular
votes, would like to see a positive correlation made
between the popular vote and the assignment of
delegates (and therefore the nomination).
The Clinton campaign, on the other hand,
argues that the purpose of the primaries is to select
the strongest candidate for the general
election, and that this doesn't necessarily correlate
with the popular vote.
The answer to "Who's right?," of course, depends
entirely on which side you're on. Everyone seems
to slice the data to their own advantage and you
never hear anybody argue against their own best
interests.
This natural, human bias is important to keep in mind
when developing any survey or research approach.
Competing agendas — or simply
well-meaning, but nonetheless biased points of view
— can play a significant role in influencing the
outcome.
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Instead of conducting focus groups of Information
Technology managers to inform the construction of a
closed-ended Web survey, our client CompTIA
retained CSR to conduct in-depth interviews
worldwide (follow this link for more about
the project).
By coding and quantifying the results, we were
able to help our client create a closed-ended survey
that was later administered to nearly 3,600 IT
managers in 14 countries. Because the in-depth
interviews were conducted by telephone, we were
able to avoid the geographic constraints of focus
groups and thus ensure that the selection of
responses incorporated the feedback of managers in
several countries.
The White Paper resulting from this research is now
for sale by CompTIA. Follow this link
for a summary.
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"Whenever you find that you are on the side of the majority, it is time to pause and reflect."
— Mark Twain, Notebook, 1904
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